The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued widespread thunderstorm advisories, primarily impacting the Visayas and Mindanao islands with warnings of moderate to heavy rainfall, lightning, and strong winds. This prevailing weather pattern, largely driven by active Easterlies, significantly escalates the risk of flash floods and landslides, prompting urgent appeals for heightened public vigilance and preparedness across numerous communities.
As of late Saturday, November 14, 2026, PAGASA's most recent bulletins noted the dynamic and localized nature of these atmospheric disturbances. Residents across Eastern Visayas, the Caraga region, Davao Region, and Sarangani are facing forecasts of cloudy skies accompanied by scattered rains and thunderstorms. The Mindanao Regional Services Division (MINPRSD) of PAGASA, headquartered in El Salvador City, Misamis Oriental, specifically reinforced these warnings, forecasting moderate to occasionally heavy precipitation for Caraga, Davao, and Sarangani.
In Eastern Visayas, Caraga, Davao Region, and Sarangani, the predominant forecast of cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms is directly attributed to the Easterlies. The agency has specifically cautioned residents in these areas about the potential for flash floods or landslides, which could be triggered by moderate to, at times, heavy rainfall. The inherent dangers necessitate that communities in these susceptible zones remain acutely aware of their surroundings and meticulously heed local disaster risk reduction and management office advisories.
The MINPRSD's warnings for Caraga, Davao, and Sarangani detail expectations of moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall, which the agency says raises the risk for flash floods and landslides in low-lying and mountainous communities. PAGASA has consistently emphasized the critical importance of public adherence to official weather bulletins and rainfall warnings as a primary strategy to mitigate potential impacts.
Meanwhile, the Visayas region is contending with its own challenges from inclement weather. Thunderstorm Advisory No. 9 for the Visayas Regional Services Division (VISPRSD), released late Saturday, indicated moderate to heavy rain showers, coupled with lightning and strong winds, over specified areas. Southern Leyte, particularly the municipality of Sogod, along with several municipalities in Cebu, Capiz, Iloilo, and Antique, are forecast to experience these conditions within the immediate hours. These areas are already experiencing similar weather, with the possibility of persistence for one to two hours and expansion to nearby locales.
A measure of relief has arrived for the nation’s capital, Metro Manila, and its adjacent provinces, including Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, and Cavite. Late Saturday, Thunderstorm Advisory No. 3-Final for the National Capital Region (NCR) was officially terminated. PAGASA indicated a reduced likelihood for thunderstorms to develop over the Greater Metro Manila Area within the ensuing 12 hours.
The regional forecast for Metro Manila and other parts of the country continues to project partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. These isolated events are primarily expected over the eastern sections of Southern Luzon and Visayas.
The "Easterlies," a consistent weather system characterized by warm, moist winds originating from the vast expanse of the Pacific Ocean, are the fundamental atmospheric force dictating the current precipitation patterns. These winds transport significant moisture inland, which, when combined with localized heating from the sun, frequently leads to the rapid formation of convective clouds and subsequent thunderstorms.
In contrast to the Easterlies, the Northeast Monsoon, known locally as "Amihan," is concurrently ushering in cloudy skies and light rains over extreme Northern Luzon, specifically impacting Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, and Kalinga. The rest of the Ilocos Region and the Cordillera Administrative Region are experiencing partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.